Investment Research

Latest Macro: MACROView – Still Below the Target, but Global Headwinds Cloud the Horizon

Sunday Nov 4, 2020

The disinflation trend is interrupted with the annual headline figure increased slightly: Annual urban headline inflation edged up to 4.5% in February 2021, up from 4.3% in January 2021, yet it is still below the lower band of the Central Bank of Egypt’s (CBE) target range of 7% ± 2%. The increase in February was driven by non-food prices and unfavorable baseyear effect. Monthly inflation also accelerated to 0.2% compared to -0.4% in January, mainly due to the significant increase in the contribution of tobacco and home utility baskets. Inflation readings are still in line with our expectations,